Sports bets is often very profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that smart money bettors use is knowing when NOT to bet.

Here’s a great case in point. My spouse and i analyzed this West Virginia vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had this edge in the game. Yet , I also realized that there were a whole lot of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on this particular game. Here is our analysis I released prior to the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This game offers all the indications of being one regarding the best games connected with the year, with both equally teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, each having high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. 토토 was a classic, with Western Virginia coming back from appearing down massive in the 4th one fourth to winning within overtime, however,.

So what’s the overall game seem like this year?

In the event this sport were getting played at a new simple field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. That they haven’t lost considering Jan. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they dropped to Virginia Tech. Through the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last dokuz video games overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROAD games.

These kinds of are some very amazing stats that tilt typically the scales in favor involving WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, typically the added bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This might not appear like substantially, but in a shut match-up similar to this, that special point could make the variation between the push and even a loss.

But what about Louisville?

Louisville’s numbers are really almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is actually 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home activities.

Together with if you’re leaning towards WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at your home since Dec 20, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 4 points for every game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. seven points every game with home. In case a person failed to do the figures, that means considering their particular last home reduction they have already averaged beating their own opposing team by about thirty four details per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by means of 13 factors per game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can a person not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats ended up developed during the 2004 season. In 2010, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They already have got recent games in which they’ve only scored 35, 23, 24 points. And these activities weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St.

Basically of which this is still some sort of close sport to get in touch with. But the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can just about all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s no reason to think WVU can’t hold them to this low to core 20’s. My honest recommendation can be to lay off this specific game and not guess at all. There will be better activities this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville forty-four, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to give back a good punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that will West Virginia’s fringe had not been so big which they may still win right after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific video game, people critical concerning sports betting saved money they will can put to better employ on approaching games.